Agronomy Journal Journal of Natural Resources and Life Sciences Education
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Published online 1 January 1982
Published in Agron J 74:122-124 (1982)
© 1982 American Society of Agronomy
677 S. Segoe Rd., Madison, WI 53711 USA
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Baby Bear's Dilemma: A Statistical Tale1

S. G. Carmer and W. M. Walker2

An allegorical and satirical, but also, we hope an accurate and humorous expository look at the problem researchers face in choosing a pairwise multiple comparisons procedure for detecting differences among treatment means. The primary objective is to present, from several points of view, some of the arguments and resulting confusion surrounding the use of the least significant difference vis-a-vis Tukey's w procedure or honest significant difference, Duncan's Multiple Range Test, and the Waller-Duncan Bayesian k-ratio t test. Particular emphasis is placed on demonstrating that the concept of comparisonwise error rate is considerably more logical, sound, and useful in pairwise multiple comparisons than the concept of experimentwise error rate. As a consequence, despite what researchers may have read in the statistical Literature or what they may have heard from statistical experts, the least significant difference is appropriate whenever a pairwise multiple comparisons procedure is in order.

Key Words: Duncan's multiple rnage test • Least significant difference • Multiple comparisons • Statistical analysis • Tukey's w procedure • Waller-Duncan Bayesian k ratio t test


1 Contribution from the Dep. of Agronomy, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL 61801. This research was partially supported by the Illinois Agric. Exp. Stn.

2 Professor of biometry and professor of biometry and soil fertility, Dep. of Agronomy, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL 61801.

Received for publication April 22, 1981.


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Copyright © 1982 by the American Society of Agronomy.